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Deepseek and AI Narrative Shifts

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Deepseek and AI Narrative Shifts

January 2025 Market Memo

This month’s market memo dives into the ripple effects of DeepSeek’s recent AI model releases and their broader impact on tech markets and investor psychology.

Here’s a preview of the January 2025 market memo:

  • China’s AI momentum grows: DeepSeek’s model releases showcase China’s emergence as a serious AI contender and spark renewed energy in the open-source community.
  • AI pricing wars intensify: DeepSeek’s aggressive pricing is forcing incumbent labs to cut margins and accelerate product rollouts.
  • Infra investment continues to rise: Despite cost-efficiency narratives, hyperscalers like Microsoft, Google, and Meta are ramping CapEx to stay ahead.
  • Market sentiment remains fragile: Perceived shifts in AI leadership triggered sharp public market declines, including a $600B drop in Nvidia’s value.
  • Over $1B in January funding: Notable raises included Hightouch ($80M Series C led by Sapphire), ElevenLabs, Synthesia, Instabase, and others across genAI and infra.

DeepSeek’s breakout moment challenged several core assumptions about the pace and players in AI innovation, leading to a wave of volatility across tech markets. This memo unpacks how shifting narratives, not just technical progress, are driving meaningful change in capital flows and competitive dynamics.

Download the full January 2025 Market Memo to explore our insights, charts, and predictions in depth